This may be of some relevance to contemporary policy debates. pic.twitter.com/HUhO9rHytm
— Justin Wolfers (@JustinWolfers) March 3, 2025
Should be a bit higher. And we’re going the opposite direction.
Unfortunately, partially due to that and the uncertainly around the government being destroyed, a recession is baked in, Great Recession II is extremely likely and depression chance is about 50/50 now. If Social Security checks are disrupted for more than a month, depression chance is 90%.
Tariff War Risks Sinking World Into New Great Depression, International Chamber of Commerce Warns.
This is very likely. It’s why I’ve raised my chance of a depression to 45%. If the tariffs and responses escalate, I will probably raise it to 60%.
This isn’t entirely wrong, but it also isn’t fair to women.
It ignores that being attractive isn’t actually that easy. We live in an obesogenic environment that requires a lot of self-control. And to be what most men consider attractive1 involves quite a lot of work from women: “natural” makeup, shaving legs and armpits, dressing decently and flatteringly and other skin care and body care routines that most men are not even aware of.
But it’s right in that men are more judged on things they have no control over, especially in the US2.
As a first approximation, women are valued for merely existing; men are valued for status and achievements. Those men who have neither are considered disposable by both men and women.
Hoping to revive mammoths, scientists create ‘woolly mice.’
What?!?!?!
I can’t ride a damn mouse! Come on, we need something rideable here.
HELP – Deployed Firewall Policy To Block All Outbound Traffic.
No testing of such a consequential change? Love it. I don’t believe “accidentally” at all.
And no local admin? Clownish setup. Sometimes it is fun to see how bad a lot of my competitors in my field are.
Received a random Amazon envelope with USBs.
If you plug some unexpectedly-received USB sticks into your computer, you deserve whatever you get. And whatever it is won’t be pretty.
Sure, they might be clean, but why risk it? Someone skilled enough can make malware that is nearly undetectable. Just smash and trash.
Trump administration retreats in fight against Russian cyber threats.
Hundreds of your Warner Bros DVDs probably don’t work anymore.
They Crashed the Economy in 2008. Now They’re Back and Bigger Than Ever.
Gangster Party. As gangsterism, it all makes sense.
Musk Is Lying About Waste and Fraud in Social Security to Have an Excuse to Kill It. Rich people hate Social Security so, so much; they want you to work until you die and they want that money in the fund.
Economic alarm bells are sounding. Tariffs threaten to deal a big blow.
Trump administration dramatically cuts staff at water agency in California. Depression getting more and more likely all the time.
NASA’s upcoming telescope launch aims to address some existential questions.
