If Putin could somehow only nuke people who ride recumbent bicycles, that’d be alright. Launch the SS-27s and RS-26s! Get those big dogs in the air!
Author: Chill
Kleptopcrats
As things stand now, recession chance is at 90%, Great Recession II chance is at 85%, depression chance is 65%.
Things are going south so fast, Putin doin’ some nukin’ would barely be a worse overall outcome.
Reading, England
I do the reading. A lot of it. And that’s why I often know more than so-called “experts” in a field. You can learn a hell of a lot if you put in some effort and have a halfway decent brain.
Woody Allen supposedly said something like, “70% of life is just showing up.” And that’s true in all areas. If you read a couple of textbooks in a field and the top dozen papers, you already know more than 99.99% of people in general and more than 50% of “experts” in that field.
Sad but true.
Trump, Chip Maker TSMC Announce $100 Billion Investment in U.S. Something positive at least.
How the British Broke Their Own Economy.
Social Security Checks Could Stop Going Out by April, Ex-Head Warns. Depression even more likely.
โFighter Droneโ Designations Officially Assigned To Collaborative Combat Aircraft By USAF.
China Retaliates Against Trump Tariffs as Superpower Trade War Escalates.
In Recess
This may be of some relevance to contemporary policy debates. pic.twitter.com/HUhO9rHytm
— Justin Wolfers (@JustinWolfers) March 3, 2025
Should be a bit higher. And we’re going the opposite direction.
Unfortunately, partially due to that and the uncertainly around the government being destroyed, a recession is baked in, Great Recession II is extremely likely and depression chance is about 50/50 now. If Social Security checks are disrupted for more than a month, depression chance is 90%.
Escal
Tariff War Risks Sinking World Into New Great Depression, International Chamber of Commerce Warns.
This is very likely. It’s why I’ve raised my chance of a depression to 45%. If the tariffs and responses escalate, I will probably raise it to 60%.
Status and Judgment
This isn’t entirely wrong, but it also isn’t fair to women.
It ignores that being attractive isn’t actually that easy. We live in an obesogenic environment that requires a lot of self-control. And to be what most men consider attractive1 involves quite a lot of work from women: “natural” makeup, shaving legs and armpits, dressing decently and flatteringly and other skin care and body care routines that most men are not even aware of.
But it’s right in that men are more judged on things they have no control over, especially in the US2.
As a first approximation, women are valued for merely existing; men are valued for status and achievements. Those men who have neither are considered disposable by both men and women.
Small Saddle
Hoping to revive mammoths, scientists create ‘woolly mice.’
What?!?!?!
I can’t ride a damn mouse! Come on, we need something rideable here.
Tuned Out
HELP – Deployed Firewall Policy To Block All Outbound Traffic.
No testing of such a consequential change? Love it. I don’t believe “accidentally” at all.
And no local admin? Clownish setup. Sometimes it is fun to see how bad a lot of my competitors in my field are.
USB Busted
Received a random Amazon envelope with USBs.
If you plug some unexpectedly-received USB sticks into your computer, you deserve whatever you get. And whatever it is won’t be pretty.
Sure, they might be clean, but why risk it? Someone skilled enough can make malware that is nearly undetectable. Just smash and trash.
Trump administration retreats in fight against Russian cyber threats.
Hundreds of your Warner Bros DVDs probably donโt work anymore.
They Crashed the Economy in 2008. Now Theyโre Back and Bigger Than Ever.
Gangster Party. As gangsterism, it all makes sense.
Musk Is Lying About Waste and Fraud in Social Security to Have an Excuse to Kill It. Rich people hate Social Security so, so much; they want you to work until you die and they want that money in the fund.
Economic alarm bells are sounding. Tariffs threaten to deal a big blow.
Trump administration dramatically cuts staff at water agency in California. Depression getting more and more likely all the time.
NASA’s upcoming telescope launch aims to address some existential questions.
Press
I’d put the odds of a recession at 90%1, the odds of a Great Recession at 65%, and the odds of a depression similar to the 1930s at 45%.
We are fucking up big time.
Trump Falling Tower
After Musk and Trump get done, we’re going to need WWIII to revitalize the economy.
Yes, I’m joking. Kind of. But either way, grim thought.
Verging
The Trump administration is going to try to fire or threaten to fire everyone involved in producing the statistics that show his economic policies hurting the country. https://t.co/enaONHtyCR
— Noah Smith ๐ (@Noahpinion) March 3, 2025
Things are about get fucked by President Musk and yapping puppy Trump in ways Americans have not experienced in a very long time.
It’s coming; get ready.