Not So Peaceful

If Putin gets a favorable peace deal, Russia will be rolling into Berlin in 2030. Anyone with a clue knows that is the goal.

Sold Out

Now that America is in the hands of enemies, those same enemies will have free rein: Invasion of Taiwan by China is likely in October of 2026 when the weather is favorable and Trump is at his weakest.

I suspect Europe will not organize itself to help Ukraine with needed materiel and thus it too will be defeated in 2026. After that, Russia will regroup for a few years and then invade the Baltics in 2030, then Poland and Germany in 2032.

Isn’t the future fun? Told you that you’d miss Pax Americana when it was gone. Those of you who survive it, that is.

Little Teapot

The claim that somehow Russia had to invade Ukraine because of NATO also comes down to the notion that Ukraine does not exist.

Anyone who believes that Russia invaded Ukraine due to NATO is just spouting Russian propaganda. And sounding foolish the whole damn time.

Vladimir Putin gives us no reason to believe that he fears a NATO invasion. If Russian leaders feared such an eventuality, the last thing they would have done would have been to undertake a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, as they did in 2022. That amounts to sacrificing most of their army inside a country that is not a NATO member. If Russians feared a NATO invasion, they would not have created a situation in which Finland and Sweden join NATO, which they have done.

Pro tip: If you want to understand global geopolitics, start with not being an unpaid Russian shill. That’s not enough of course, but it’s a good starting place.

Win to Lose

Ian Welsh: OMG WINNING SO HARD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!111111

Everyone who is not a goddamn confirmed idiot: Wow, that’s a colossal waste of money and people to achieve nearly nothing.

The III

WWIII has already started. I mean, obviously. Well, if you have a brain attached.

Future historians will mark the date of its commencement as of February 20, 2014, the first Russian invasion of Ukraine. I’m guessing it’ll end somewhere around 2040, unless we nuke ourselves all to hell. Then it could be sooner.